| Both sides previous revision
Previous revision
Next revision
 | 
                    Previous revision
 | 
                
                        
                
                    opinion:frater_secessus:how_much_excess_solar_power [2022/12/14 18:43] frater_secessus [theoretical power available]                  | 
                
                    opinion:frater_secessus:how_much_excess_solar_power [2023/04/21 15:50] (current) frater_secessus [Pareto summary]                  | 
            
        
| DRAFT | DRAFT | 
 |  | 
|   |  | 
|   | FIXME | 
 |  | 
| ====== How much extra solar power do I have? ====== | ====== How much extra solar power do I have? ====== | 
 |  | 
 |  | 
| ===== Pareto summary ===== | ===== TLDR ===== | 
 |  | 
 |  | 
 |  | 
 |  | 
| ===== empirical testing =====  | ===== direct testing ===== | 
|   |  | 
|   |  | 
| ===== observation and prediction ===== |  | 
 |  | 
|   | Plug it in and see if the solar can support it [[electrical:solar:offthepanel|without affecting the battery bank]].  Easy peasy.   | 
 |  | 
|   | The downside is this is a YES/NO answer;  it tells you a specific load will run but does not tell you about how much power is actually available.  If you want to see the Bigger Picture then read on... | 
 |  | 
|   | ===== prediction ===== | 
 |  | 
| ==== overall system efficiency ==== | ==== looking up daily insolation (FSE) ===== | 
 |  | 
| You can get a feel for overall system efficiency by  | Hours of Full Sun Equivalent (FSE) is a convenient way to think of the amount of sunlight reaching the ground over the entire day.  4.5 hours of FSE means 4.5kWh of power reaching the ground per square meter.   | 
 |  | 
|    - watching your system over time, as described above  | To predict daily harvest we will use | 
|    - comparing real-time harvest to theoretical harvest |  | 
 |  | 
|   |   * FSE | 
|   |   * your panel wattage | 
|   |   * and your system's overall efficiency | 
 |  | 
 |  | 
| ===== average power harvest for a given time/place ===== |   | 
 |  | 
| ==== theoretical power available ==== |   | 
 |  | 
| === predicted daily harvest === |   | 
 |  | 
 |  | 
|   | ==== calculating power available (W)  ==== | 
 |  | 
| === predicted harvest at a specific time === |   | 
 |  | 
| Real-time harvest is a bit easier since there is no time component.  We are working in Watts (W) rather than Watt-hours (Wh). What we are doing is comparing the strength of sunlight reaching the ground (perpendicular) vs [[electrical:solar:output#zenith_angle|the cosine of the angle at which it actually strikes the ground]], or strikes a flat-mounted panel.  | Real-time harvest is a bit easier since there is no time component.  We are working in Watts (W) rather than Watt-hours (Wh). What we are doing is comparing the strength of sunlight reaching the ground (perpendicular) vs [[electrical:solar:output#zenith_angle|the cosine of the angle at which it actually strikes the ground]], or strikes a flat-mounted panel.  | 
| This cosine is [[https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/grad/solcalc/azel.html|calculable for a given time and place]].   | This cosine is [[https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/grad/solcalc/azel.html|calculable for a given time and place]].   | 
 |  | 
| **Example**: if you have 200w of panels and calculated cosine is .70 then **140w of light is landing on your panels**.  | **Example**: if you have 200w of panels and calculated cosine is .70 then **140w of direct light is landing on your panels** in clear skies.  | 
 |  | 
| ==== system efficiency ==== | ==== finding and using system efficiency ==== | 
 |  | 
|   | For [[electrical:solar:output|various reasons]] your solar setup will not be able to harvest all the power landing on the panels. For systems with PWM controllers the percent harvested will be something like 70%.  For MPPT it might be 83%.  These constants will be placeholders you can use until you figure out your specific system's overall efficiency.  | 
 |  | 
|   | You can see our system's overall efficiency at a given time:  //actual harvest / theoretical harvest//.  The numbers will jump around but over time you will start to see a pattern.  Maybe yours makes 80% or 86% over time.  Use that  number to **predict how your system will behave** in another time/place:   | 
 |  | 
| If observed 94w at that place/time the overall system efficiency would be 94w/116.2w = **80.9%**.  After you make many comparisons like this you will start to see a patter in your system's ability to harvest power.  If it's 81% over time we can start to multiply the solar zenith angle calculations above times 0.81 to predict how much power our particular system could make on average.  |     panel wattage x system efficiency x cosine | 
 |  | 
| Continuing from the example above: |   | 
 |  | 
| >> , your mppt controller typically yields 83% after derating, and the calculated cosine is .70 then you might expect ~116w in clear conditions at that time in that location. (200 x .83 x .7 = 116.2).  | >> ...if your mppt controller typically yields 83% after derating, and the calculated cosine is .70 then you might expect ~116w in clear conditions at that time in that location. (200 x .83 x .7 = 116.2).  |