patterns in solar harvest
unscientific terms
Rated = the actual panel rating in watts under lab conditions
MPPT theoretical = 82% of rated, allowing for 5% DC-DC losses and 13% temperature derating at 70deg F ambient.
In my case, Rated is 570w and MPPT theoretical is 467w.
observations
Overpaneled configurations (relatively high panel watt to battery Ah ratio) tend have two main features:
improved charging in adverse conditions
apparent low output in normal conditions - this occurs because the batteries are typically in Absorption with battery charging demand dropping by solar noon; there is rarely an opportunity to
demonstrate full output.
full sun normal
bright sun through thin / cirrus clouds, shadows thrown
bright overcast, sun is completely occluded but too bright to look at comfortably, no open sky, no shadows - 25% of rated, 67% of theoretical
overcast, can look at sun's assumed position - 20% of rated
125w, 22% of rated
100w, 18% of rated
75w, 13% of rated
dark overcast, cannot locate sun - 10% of rated
exceptionally low yield - less than 5% of rated
correlation with available direct light
This is harder to grasp and compute, but increases accuracy by factoring in location, time, etc.1)
find solar zenith angle with app or calculator
derive cosine of the above; this is the percentage of direct sunlight landing on a flat surface
multiply this value by panel wattage
the result is the theoretical direct light available at that time/place under clear skies.
2)
I have observed the following cosine-based direct light percentages:
clear skies: 98% of theoretical direct sun
bright overcast skies (shadows thrown): 82% of theoretical direct sun
overcast: 58% of theoretical direct sun
ununsual scenarios