User Tools

Site Tools


opinion:frater_secessus:solar_harvest

patterns in solar harvest

unscientific terms

  • Rated = the actual panel rating in watts under lab conditions
  • MPPT theoretical = 82% of rated, allowing for 5% DC-DC losses and 13% temperature derating at 70deg F ambient.

In my case, Rated is 570w and MPPT theoretical is 467w.

observations

Overpaneled configurations (relatively high panel watt to battery Ah ratio) tend have two main features:

  1. improved charging in adverse conditions
  2. apparent low output in normal conditions - this occurs because the batteries are typically in Absorption with battery charging demand dropping by solar noon; there is rarely an opportunity to demonstrate full output.
  • full sun normal
    • 305w, 54% of rated
  • bright sun through thin / cirrus clouds, shadows thrown
    • 312w at 11am, sea level. 55% of rated, 67% of theoretical.
  • bright overcast, sun is completely occluded but too bright to look at comfortably, no open sky, no shadows - 25% of rated, 67% of theoretical
    • 150w spiking to 200w in light rain (26-31% of rated, 33-44% of theoretical mppt)
  • overcast, can look at sun's assumed position - 20% of rated
    • 125w, 22% of rated
    • 100w, 18% of rated
    • 75w, 13% of rated
  • dark overcast, cannot locate sun - 10% of rated
  • exceptionally low yield - less than 5% of rated
    • thunderstorms, typically 10W, less than 2% of rated.

correlation with available direct light

This is harder to grasp and compute, but increases accuracy by factoring in location, time, etc.1)

  1. find solar zenith angle with app or calculator
  2. derive cosine of the above; this is the percentage of direct sunlight landing on a flat surface
  3. multiply this value by panel wattage
  4. the result is the theoretical direct light available at that time/place under clear skies.2)

I have observed the following cosine-based direct light percentages:

  • clear skies: 98% of theoretical direct sun
  • bright overcast skies (shadows thrown): 82% of theoretical direct sun
  • overcast: 58% of theoretical direct sun

ununsual scenarios

  • exceptionally high yield, 90% of rated
  • wildfire smoke - 8.98W at noon, sea level. 1.5% of rated, 1.9% of theoretical during September 2020 wildfires in Oregon.
1)
It cannot account for indirect light by refraction, reflection,etc. The contribution of indirect light is considered to be +15% in clear skies.
2)
since MPPT-based system losses typically are -15% and indirect lighting is +15%, an MPPT-based system might make this direct-light power level under clear skies.
3)
before I increased array to 750w
opinion/frater_secessus/solar_harvest.txt · Last modified: 2023/02/17 15:20 by frater_secessus